FANALYTICS: In-season use of XRD
Jul 12 2012
We have seen loads of evidence that Bill James' Plexiglass Principle is a powerful force. The tactical implications are shown to work well in the Xtreme Regression Drafting (XRD) strategy. Last week, I showed how the pre-season targets that were on the top of the XRD draft list are fulfilling expectations at the season's midpoint.
If regression is such a strong force, can we use it over shorter periods of time? I know that a key question when a player is under- or over-performing is "When will he regress?" But can we take a few leaps of faith at certain times during the season?
It seems to me, when scanning players' monthly stats, that the volatility is extreme. And you can count on it. If I know that a player is an inherent .270...
Almost!
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