ROTISSERIE: Roundtable—Still practice patience? Pt. 2

This BaseballHQ Roundtable is a continuation of a discussion of staffers on exercising patience—how long, and how much? Catch up with Part 1 here.

TZ: Here's my take. My own research shows 70 percent of players decline in performance one year to the next, which corroborates the first round data.

And I know that we don't expect a player to match his expectations, just come reasonably close.

But not everyone does.

What if there is a means to identify the players that are likely to fall short of expectations? Furthermore, what if the signs were there earlier than most intuit? This shifts it from micro-management to fanalytic management.

There are some interesting studies by Tom Tango and Russell Carleton that show when hitter's and...

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