ROTISSERIE: Trade yourself into the top three
Jul 16 2012
In April hopes were high. Your team had hot rookies, young pitchers ready to breakout and a stacked offense. And now, the cold, hard facts of the baseball season have left the once-promising squad in tatters, languishing in the second division. There is no hope for an in-the-money finish. Or is there? What do you do now?
Is it hopeless?
The first item on the agenda is to really and truly determine if your team is hopeless. Even a 30-point deficit is not insurmountable. The total points behind is not as important as the category deficits, a point that seems fairly obvious.
You need to first figure out how much you can gain from simple regression to the mean. If you have Cliff Lee (LHP, PHI) for example, you know the low win total...
Almost!
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