ROTISSERIE: Where have all the steALs gone?
Feb 3 2017
Recent MLB trends regarding the decline of stolen bases have been analyzed in a number of outlets, including the 2017 Baseball Forecaster ("Devaluation" and "2016 Trends, 2017 Responses" essays), as well as the 9/23/2016 BaseballHQ Radio podcast with Patrick Davitt and Joe Sheehan. A deeper dive into the data raises some particular findings for those in AL or NL "only" leagues, which will be explored here.
Macro Level Analysis
Yes, as hinted in this article's title, there has been a major stolen base adjustment in the American League.
AL 2013 2014 2015 2016
=== ==== ==== ==== ====
SB 1428 1394 1185 1149
CS 513 492 533 448
SB% 74% 74% 69% 72%
SBO 8.9% 8.8% 8.2% 7.5%
NL 2013 2014 ...
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