DIVISIONAL OUTLOOK: NL Central—Joe Kelly's best days?

St Louis Cardinals

Most of his fantasy owners have to be ecstatic about Joe Kelly's (RHP, STL) performance since moving into the rotation in the 2H. In his five starts since July 1, Kelly has taken advantage of all the support that a solid STL club has to offer, recording 3 wins and a 1.86 ERA. Three PQS-DOMs along with a manageable 1.28 WHIP offer hope that he can produce more of the same down the stretch.

But a look under the hood suggests some potential bumpiness, and even a longer-term question as to Kelly's rotation spot in STL. For one, while a 47% GB% has obviously worked to his advantage, Kelly's 18/14 K/BB over 34 IP as a starter haven't been impressive. The 4.58 xERA, 25% H% and 89% S% in the 2H say he's been the beneficiary...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From PT Tomorrow

NL West rotations are mostly set, but the rosters still have plenty of room for shuffling during the spring's remaining weeks.
Mar 14 2026 3:04am
Shane Drohan may be the most intriguing piece in the return for Caleb Durbin.
Mar 13 2026 3:05am
Top Twins prospects Walker Jenkins and Emmanuel Rodriguez will start 2026 at Triple-A, but seem likely to get a call-up at some point this season. Plus, saves in CHW, the Guardians' middle infield, an unknown Tiger, and Starling Marte and Lane Thomas in KC.
Mar 12 2026 3:05am
Top to bottom, the Washington Nationals have one of the youngest—and most high-variance—teams in baseball. Plus: SP in MIA; Profar fallout in ATL; C at NYM; RP in PHI; more.
Mar 11 2026 8:30am
With Jeremy Peña suffering a finger injury, the Astros may be shuffling things up in the infield to start the season.
Mar 11 2026 8:10am

Tools