THE BIG HURT: Beyond the health scores

The BaseballHQ.com Health score is a backwards-looking tool that does tend to correlate well with overall health risk. However, it doesn't take into account the nature of an injury or the actual risk of recurrence. While it's true that past injury history tends to correlate with future injury risk, the overall correlation can mask or overstate the potential risks of specific players. So we'll take a look here at a group of players where there's "more to the story" than a one-letter health grade.

 

The overstated players are those whose health grades may be overstating their risk, or masking the distribution of potential outcomes. You can (and should) decide how to discount these players, but they may not be as risky as they seem. (The...

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