Snap Pitcher Judgments, 2024

Some might say it's too early, but pitchers can change quickly, and this is the time to pounce.

By looking at per-pitch metrics, or what we like to call “sub-indicators”, like ball percentage (Ball%; league-average 36%) and swinging-strike rate (SwK%; league-average 11%), we can perhaps pick up on early signs of a breakout… or of looming disaster. 

Last week's exercise used Quality of Batted Ball (QBaB) data to make some snap hitter judgments; we'll go back to that well with pitchers for 2024, asking ourselves the following question:

If this early performance is real, what might it look like over a full season?

***

More whiffs, more strikes
Pitchers with 15+ IP, a 2% jump in swinging-strike rate, and a 2% dip in Ball%. Ordered by rise...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Speculator

Most starters are 3-4 starts in... time to overreact with some (skills-based!) snap judgments.
Apr 16 2025 3:06am
Spencer Torkelson's turnaround is getting plenty of QBaB support.
Apr 9 2025 3:02am
Baseball is back and we're here to overreact. We'll speculate on several Opening Weekend storylines.
Apr 2 2025 3:09am
Our annual Opening Day Eve exercise at category leaders who went outside the Top 200 this draft season.
Mar 26 2025 3:09am
They come from all stages of the draft. We'll use history as our guide to speculate on this season's Top 15 players.
Mar 19 2025 3:10am

Tools