SPECULATOR: Finding this year's Cristian Javier

This time last year, Cristian Javier (RHP, HOU) was on the outside looking in as a sixth starter on HOU's rotation.

Quick aside—what a call by Stephen Nickrand to not only get Javier, but to nail the article's cover boy, Spencer Strider, and Tyler Anderson. Lesson: never miss Stephen's SP Buyers Guide.

Nearly 150 innings of a 2.54 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and 194 strikeouts later, Javier is a consensus Top-75 pick who is currently shooting up draft boards.

The purpose of this column is to find this year's version of Javier, looking back on Javier's pre-breakout skills to see which pitchers in this year's pool check similar boxes:

  • An above-average strikeout-minus-walk ratio (15% K-BB%).
  • Ability to miss bats (= 12% swinging-strike rate...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Speculator

Sure, they struggled last year, but if we remove some recency bias, granting mulligans could be a lucrative exercise.
Feb 18 2026 3:06am
Our annual look at who changed their pitch mix the most in-season last year, and (most importantly) whether it worked.
Feb 11 2026 3:06am
Could Jakob Marsee lead the majors in plate appearances? We'll take our component playing time metrics for a spin to see who could bubble up.
Feb 4 2026 8:30am
To the mound this week. We list out all "UP"side pitchers from the Baseball Forecaster with comments on outlooks that may have changed.
Jan 28 2026 3:09am
Reviewing the entire list of "UP:" batters with thoughts on those whose outlooks may have changed.
Jan 21 2026 3:02am

Tools