SPECULATOR: The Forecaster DN: list

Our first two articles of the season have taken a look at the speculative UP: projections found in the 2015 Baseball Forecaster, for both batters and pitchers. In the spirit of equal time, this week we take a look at those players who we tagged with the dreaded "DN:" tag; indicated downside risk.

First, let's look at the DN: batters list:

Cuddyer,Michael     .270 BA, 10 HR, even if healthy
Gonzalez,Carlos     Injuries make even 2014 look good
Hamilton,Billy      35 SB or less
Hill,Aaron          Single-digit HR, part-time role
Holliday,Matt       15 HR, .260
Hunter,Torii        12 HR, .260
Joyce,Matt          300 AB
Morrison,Logan      See 2012
Napoli,Mike         2H x 2
Pence,Hunter        2nd half x 2
Perez,Juan          Back to the...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Speculator

What lessons can we apply from Drew Rasmussen's 2025 breakout to this year's player pool?
Mar 11 2026 8:36am
Applying lessons learned from George Springer's 2025 breakout to this year's player pool
Mar 4 2026 3:04am
This week's exercise is all about picking holes to help avoid early-round busts.
Feb 25 2026 3:10am
Sure, they struggled last year, but if we remove some recency bias, granting mulligans could be a lucrative exercise.
Feb 18 2026 3:06am
Our annual look at who changed their pitch mix the most in-season last year, and (most importantly) whether it worked.
Feb 11 2026 3:06am

Tools