SPECULATOR: League leaders with downside risk

Pointing out the downside risk of mid-season league leaders isn't exactly a speculative exercise by nature: half-season leaders frequently don't hold their leader board position through the 2nd half of the season. We could point at just about any chart-topper and give reasons why they are unlikely to stay there, and be proven right a decent percentage of the time.

Still, there's value in going through and pointing out the warts among these leader board denizens. And to keep the exercise somewhat speculative in nature, we'll focus in on some softer factors that might make the sledding tougher in the 2nd half. Many of these guys have a recent Fact/Fluke analysis on file in Playerlink if you want the 80% analysis, so we'll focus on the...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Speculator

Using some of our new playing time component metrics to look at potentially higher PA ceilings for Elly De La Cruz, TJ Friedl, and others
Feb 5 2025 3:08am
We continue our "UP"side updates on the pitching side, plus a look at all players with "DN"-side boxes in the 2025 Baseball Forecaster
Jan 29 2025 3:05am
The Speculator returns with our annual update on Baseball Forecaster "UP:" siders whose outlooks may have changed since the book went to press.
Jan 22 2025 3:02am
We follow up on some early (and mid) season speculations to find out what went right, what went wrong, and what actually happened.
Sep 10 2024 3:03am
Our annual exercise of giving out second chances to those who, frankly, stunk up the joint in 2024.
Sep 4 2024 3:04am

Tools