SPECULATOR: Prospect paths to stardom

The "A-Rod 10-Step Path to Stardom" has been a longtime staple in the Baseball Forecaster. It's our annual reminder that even the best prospects rarely hit the ground running. A more common path to stardom is filled with highs and lows; from a poor initial MLB cameo to a minor league demotion, to another crack in the majors; rinse and repeat.

Even Mike Trout spent some time on the Path with a .220/.281/.390 slash in his 2011 debut. Others, like Archie Bradley, Joey Gallo, or Luis Severino, needed a couple tries before it started to click. Heck, it took Justin Smoak nearly a decade to get to his .270 BA, 38 HR explosion in 2017.

This week, we'll pair a player with each of the 10 steps on the A-Rod Path to Stardom. Quick disclaimer: Just...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Speculator

To the mound this week. We list out all "UP"side pitchers from the Baseball Forecaster with comments on outlooks that may have changed.
Jan 28 2026 3:09am
Reviewing the entire list of "UP:" batters with thoughts on those whose outlooks may have changed.
Jan 21 2026 3:02am
A look back at some early/mid-season Speculator calls to see how things shook out.
Sep 17 2025 3:08am
Our annual exercise of giving out second chances to those who, frankly, stunk up the joint in 2025.
Sep 10 2025 3:11am
Can we extract fantasy value from September auditions? Plus, a quick check on how team schedules shake out over the final month.
Aug 27 2025 3:06am

Tools