SPECULATOR: Summer surgers and faders, 2022

Dog days. A time for summer vacations, weekends where you might be burnt out from 19 straight FAAB periods (7 more to go!), for that "other sport" taking over our news feeds and leaguemates' attention, and (for the purposes of this article) a time when preconceived notions of certain players might be hiding behind recent gains or slumps.

We might normally use the Last 31 Day (L31) splits from our Stats and Projections files for this "recent changes" type of analysis, but that's an admittedly arbitrary endpoint. Instead, here's a weekly look at league-wide power numbers—home runs per barrel (HR/Brl%) and home runs per flyball (HR/FB)—to give us a more relevant time frame to use when the run-scoring environment began to change:

That's a...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Speculator

With skills so bad, we can only speculate on an underlying injury. We hope we're wrong!
Apr 29 2026 3:05am
Our annual "draft skills, not roles" using projected skills and year-to-date playing time.
Apr 22 2026 3:05am
With most pitchers 3-4 starts in, we dive into the sub-indicators to see who's rising and falling.
Apr 15 2026 3:06am
Using our Quality of Batted Ball (QBaB) metric to make some speculative hitter snap judgments.
Apr 8 2026 3:06am
Baseball is back, and it's time to overreact... because what else are we supposed to do?
Apr 1 2026 3:08am

Tools