BATTERS: Big seasons in 2011
Jan 6 2012
Last month, the Batting Buyers Guide examined hitters who had very poor seasons in 2011, looking at which of them might be most likely to “regress to the mean” of their weighted average performance from 2008-10.
This exercise lets us apply Ron Shandler’s “Extreme Regression Drafting” team-construction approach, which says to find players who significantly over- or underperformed their historical norms in Year X, and expect them to regress to those norms in Year X+1. So we grab underperformers who look set to regress upwards, and avoid overperformers set to regress downwards.
As with last time, we started by finding the batters whose 2011 seasons varied sharply from their norms, this time by doing far better than their norms...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Batters
Today's post explores a TOR and a TEX hitter each moving up in the batting order, thereby enhancing their value. Plus, a rookie catcher has been hitting cleanup for BOS.
Jun 13 2025 3:06am
Jun 13 2025 3:06am
Brett Baty and Andrew Benintendi may be on the verge of power spikes.
Jun 10 2025 3:07am
Jun 10 2025 3:07am
Paul Goldschmidt's resurgence has been driven by elite stats and skills against lefty arms.
Jun 9 2025 3:09am
Jun 9 2025 3:09am
Miguel Vargas' combination of contact and exit velocity made May a big growth month for him.
FREE
Jun 2 2025 3:05am
FREE
Jun 2 2025 3:05am
Jesús Sánchez and Agustín Ramírez have been splitting time at leadoff for Miami. Also, Miguel Vargas has parlayed a hot streak into batting third for the White Sox.
May 30 2025 3:07am
May 30 2025 3:07am
