BATTING: HRs, pop-ups and hard-hit flies
May 28 2012
It is an article of faith here at BaseballHQ.com and elsewhere that batted flyballs will leave the yard 10 per cent of the time. This is useful information, because it helps us spot batters (and pitchers) whose hr/f rates are well above or below that 10% level and expect some correction.
The theory is sound, but we might have some opportunity to fine-tune the threshold—and to add a more precise metric to our toolbox. We thought to look at the issue for a couple of reasons:
- First, gamewide data show that about 10 percent of FBs are infield flyballs (IFFBs), which by definition cannot become over-the-wall HRs. This means that batters with more pop-ups should have lower hr/f rates, and that before expecting a hr/f correction, we...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Batters
Luis Garcia's steadily increasing exit velocity and launch rate spike give him breakout potential in 2025.
Sep 23 2024 3:09am
Sep 23 2024 3:09am
In our last installment this season, a look at the lineup spots for James Wood, Pete Crow-Armstrong, and Junior Caminero.
Sep 6 2024 3:03am
Sep 6 2024 3:03am
Jackson Merrill's huge multi-category contributions in August came with strong underlying support.
Sep 2 2024 3:07am
Sep 2 2024 3:07am
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seemed destined for greatness from the time he was a teenager, but he has had an up-and-down journey in the Major Leagues. We dig into how he has bounced back in 2024.
Aug 27 2024 3:08am
Aug 27 2024 3:08am
The exciting early returns from James Wood would accelerate quickly if he could figure out a way to loft the ball against lefties.
Aug 26 2024 3:06am
Aug 26 2024 3:06am
