BATTING: RBI over- and underperformers

A few years ago BaseballHQ.com identified a formula for calculating Projected RBI (pRBI), a rough measure of how many RBI a batter should have given his own performance, his position in the batting order, and his team’s ability to get on base.

At that time, and in subsequent republications in the Baseball Forecaster annual, we suggested that these pRBI formulas should be applied after 70 team games or so to find batters whose actual RBI were +/- 9 from their pRBI, because a correction might be coming.

Method

To check the RBI-pRBI variances, we checked every MLB Batter with more than 100 AB through June 24.

We used baseball-reference.com’s batting-order summaries to slot each batter into one of the three batting-order...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Batters

Luis Garcia's steadily increasing exit velocity and launch rate spike give him breakout potential in 2025.
Sep 23 2024 3:09am
In our last installment this season, a look at the lineup spots for James Wood, Pete Crow-Armstrong, and Junior Caminero.
Sep 6 2024 3:03am
Jackson Merrill's huge multi-category contributions in August came with strong underlying support.
Sep 2 2024 3:07am
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seemed destined for greatness from the time he was a teenager, but he has had an up-and-down journey in the Major Leagues. We dig into how he has bounced back in 2024.
Aug 27 2024 3:08am
The exciting early returns from James Wood would accelerate quickly if he could figure out a way to loft the ball against lefties.
Aug 26 2024 3:06am

Tools