BATTING: Reaching PA thresholds
Mar 26 2012
Last year, BaseballHQ.com identified a new way to assess the potential of young batters by focusing on their early-career PAs rather than their ages.
The prevailing wisdom was (and remains) that we should be most interested in players who are entering seasons at “age 26 with experience,” but we found that age didn’t correlate as well with fantasy production as did total career PAs.
The reason for this seemed fairly obvious in hindsight. Most players reach MLB around age 24, so they naturally get to the 800-PA threshold in their age-26 seasons. We might have been mistaking age for PAs all along.
Why 800?
Batters reaching 800 or more PAs early in their careers are demonstrating enough ability that they convince the talent...
Almost!
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