BATTING: Unlucky Liners
Jul 23 2012
By now, we’re all pretty comfortable with the idea that luck—good or bad—plays a role in batter performance. In particular, we’ve learned that batters tend to establish a hit rate (h%) and regress to it.
Our h% research has looked only at h% variance as it affects full seasons, and has identified only regressions that occur the full season after an outlier season.
Nonetheless, it stands to reason that batters experiencing unusual bad luck through a half-season might well enjoy better results in the half-season to come.
With that in mind, we looked at batters this season who have been unusually unlucky, and focused in particular on batters with low h% on line drives (LD).
We chose this approach because LD have by far the...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Batters
Two of the best hitters in the AL Central, Maikel Garcia and Riley Greene, have had very different developments in their approaches to hitting in 2025.
Aug 5 2025 3:06am
Aug 5 2025 3:06am
Andrew Vaughn's resurgence with the Brewers in July came with strong underlying support.
Aug 4 2025 3:05am
Aug 4 2025 3:05am
Nick Kurtz's historical game earlier this week reinforced his significant second-half gains.
Jul 28 2025 3:10am
Jul 28 2025 3:10am
Drake Baldwin and Nick Kurtz are not only producing as rookies, they are moving into prime spots in the batting order.
Jul 25 2025 3:06am
Jul 25 2025 3:06am
José Fermín is one of several intriguing targets in deep leagues heading into the second half.
Jul 21 2025 3:05am
Jul 21 2025 3:05am
