BATTING: XRD2: Underperformers

In last week’s BBG, we started our look at batters who might be targets for 2013 drafts using Ron Shandler’s Extreme Regression Drafting (XRD) method.

In a nutshell, XRD finds players whose performance varied significantly from one year to the next, assuming that such big value swings would influence perceived value—and, so, auction prices or draft round positions—in the subsequent year.

The last BBG looked at batters who gained value in 2012 relative to 2011, and who might therefore be overpriced in 2013 by owners thinking 2012 represents a new value baseline for those batters. We looked at how likely they might be to regress back to that 2011 level, and therefore be poor investments for 2013.

This week, we take the opposite...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Batters

Luis Garcia's steadily increasing exit velocity and launch rate spike give him breakout potential in 2025.
Sep 23 2024 3:09am
In our last installment this season, a look at the lineup spots for James Wood, Pete Crow-Armstrong, and Junior Caminero.
Sep 6 2024 3:03am
Jackson Merrill's huge multi-category contributions in August came with strong underlying support.
Sep 2 2024 3:07am
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seemed destined for greatness from the time he was a teenager, but he has had an up-and-down journey in the Major Leagues. We dig into how he has bounced back in 2024.
Aug 27 2024 3:08am
The exciting early returns from James Wood would accelerate quickly if he could figure out a way to loft the ball against lefties.
Aug 26 2024 3:06am

Tools