FACTS/FLUKES: Y. Alvarez, Cease, Story, L. Severino, N. Lowe

Is Y. Alvarez just getting started?...Coming off of his first $30 season, 26-year old Yordan Alvarez (OF, HOU) is being selected in the first round of most 2023 drafts. Was his 2022 breakout a fact or a fluke, and is growth or gravity-induced regression more likely in 2023? 

Year   PA  HR/xHR   BA/xBA  HctX  bb%  ct%  GB/LD/FB   PX/xPX  HR/F  xHR/F  FBv*
====  ===  ======  =======  ====  ===  ===  ========  =======  ====  =====  ====
2019  369   27/27  313/298   124   14   70  38/25/37  196/155   33%   33%   94.9
2021  598   33/41  277/272   118    8   73  38/23/39  151/153   21%   27%   96.9
2022  561   37/43  306/304   150   14   77  39/22/39  182/171   25%   29%   97.4
* average fly ball exit velocity

A fact, and all signs are...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Facts & Flukes

How high of a ceiling exists for Seattle's Bryan Woo?
Aug 1 2025 3:09am
Byron Buxton is healthy and producing. We'll examine the skills and underlying metrics for Garrett Crochet, Gleyber Torres, Eric Lauer, and Randy Arozarena.
Jul 31 2025 3:06am
CJ Abrams improves fantasy value. Also: Shota Imanaga, Kyle Stowers, Camilo Doval, and Tyler Freeman.
Jul 29 2025 3:06am
Will Reese Olson finish the season strong? We'll also examine the skills and underlying metrics for Brent Rooker, Slade Cecconi, Jeremy Peña, and Simeon Woods Richardson.
Jul 24 2025 3:06am
Ketel Marte having another strong season. Matthew Boyd is having a career year. Plus, updates on Teoscar Hernández, Emilio Pagán, and Sean Murphy.
Jul 23 2025 3:06am

Tools