FACTS/FLUKES: Y. Alvarez, Cease, Story, L. Severino, N. Lowe

Is Y. Alvarez just getting started?...Coming off of his first $30 season, 26-year old Yordan Alvarez (OF, HOU) is being selected in the first round of most 2023 drafts. Was his 2022 breakout a fact or a fluke, and is growth or gravity-induced regression more likely in 2023? 

Year   PA  HR/xHR   BA/xBA  HctX  bb%  ct%  GB/LD/FB   PX/xPX  HR/F  xHR/F  FBv*
====  ===  ======  =======  ====  ===  ===  ========  =======  ====  =====  ====
2019  369   27/27  313/298   124   14   70  38/25/37  196/155   33%   33%   94.9
2021  598   33/41  277/272   118    8   73  38/23/39  151/153   21%   27%   96.9
2022  561   37/43  306/304   150   14   77  39/22/39  182/171   25%   29%   97.4
* average fly ball exit velocity

A fact, and all signs are...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Facts & Flukes

What's behind Jackson Merrill's rough start? Plus, Michael King, Spencer Steer, Zac Gallen, and Jake Bauers.
May 27 2026 3:06am
Michael Harris II hits more home runs. Also: Eury Pérez, Ramón Laureano, Landen Roupp, Nolan Arenado.
May 26 2026 3:06am
Joe Ryan and Casey Mize are putting up the best ratios of their respective careers. Can they keep it up? Plus, Randy Arozarena, Spencer Torkelson, and Zack Gelof
May 25 2026 3:06am
The fast early start by Elly De La Cruz has been driven by a sharp improvement in batted ball quality.
May 22 2026 3:10am
A new handful of ALers to put under the Facts/Flukes skills microscope...
May 21 2026 3:06am

Tools