F/F SPOTLIGHT: Manuel Margot
May 20 2022
When a former top prospect establishes an MLB baseline as a solid regular, the market’s expectations of him lower accordingly.
Take Manuel Margot (RF/DH, TAM) and his 395 ADP in 2022 drafts. He once ranked among the game’s top 25 MLB prospects back in 2017. Scouts saw the potential for a .300 BA, 20 HR, and 40 SB at his peak. He was rated as a 9C prospect in April 2017 by our scouting writers.
But his production since that time has been good, not great:
Fast-forward to 2022, and the hyped version of Margot has come to fruition in 92 AB:
- .348 BA, 3 HR, 21 RBI, 5 SB, .912 OPS, $27
At first glance, his 38% hit rate is 10 points above its prior baseline, a variance that favors regression. But a closer look reveals several reasons to...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Facts & Flukes
Willy Adames enjoyed the best season of his career in 2024. What can we expect in 2025? Plus, Josh Naylor, Jorge Lopez, Sean Murphy, and Michael Soroka.
Jan 30 2025 3:03am
Jan 30 2025 3:03am
Shea Langeliers looks primed for another big power year in his new park. Plus, Carlos Correa, Andrew Benintendi, Bryan Woo, and Michael Wacha.
Jan 27 2025 3:01am
Jan 27 2025 3:01am
Francisco Lindor can provide power and speed in the first round. Plus dives into Justin Steele, Brendan Donovan, Brandon Pfaadt and Heliot Ramos.
FREE
Jan 22 2025 3:03am
FREE
Jan 22 2025 3:03am
Is Luis Castillo still high-end starting pitcher option? We'll also discuss the skills of Anthony Santander, Shane Baz, Riley Greene, and Luke Weaver.
Jan 20 2025 2:03am
Jan 20 2025 2:03am
Logan Gilbert had the best season of his career in 2024—what should we expect from him in 2025?
Jan 13 2025 3:08am
Jan 13 2025 3:08am
