Fried, L. Robert, Mahle, L. Butler, Ober

Fried is thriving in his first season with the Yankees ... Max Fried (LHP, NYY) has a 1.05 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 22% K%, and 5% BB% in 51 innings. He's always given us high-end earned value, but he is taking it to another level in 2025. Is it legitimate?

Season	IP	ERA/xERA	WHIP	H%/S%	GB%/FB%	BB%	K%	SwK%	HR/F	BPX
2021	165.2	3.04/3.49	1.09	30%/75%	50%/27%	6%	24%	11.6%	12%	139
2022	185.1	2.48/3.21	1.01	30%/78%	50%/29%	4%	23%	12.7%	8%	158
2023	77.2	2.55/3.13	1.13	33%/81%	57%/25%	6%	26%	11.9%	13%	171
2024	174.1	3.25/3.24	1.16	30%/74%	58%/23%	8%	23%	10.6%	12%	127
2025	51.2	1.05/3.42	0.91	25%/93%	51%/35%	5%	23%	9.9%	6%	166

Expect regression, but Fried's skills remain legitimate:

• Fried's xERA aligns with the career xERA (3.25), suggesting the results should regress with luck factors in his favor (H%, S%, and HR/F)....

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