Larnach, Crochet, Toro, H. Brown, Singleton
May 16 2024
Larnach might be breaking out ... After hitting 20 home runs with two stolen bases and a .222 BA in 693 plate appearances (2021-2023), Trevor Larnach (OF, MIN) has three homers with a .328 BA in 70 plate appearances. Is he running hot, or can we identify any skill changes?
| Season | PA | HR | BA/xBA | BB% | ct% | h% | GB%/FB% | PX/xPX | HR/F | BPX |
| 2021 | 301 | 7 | .223/.192 | 10% | 60% | 34% | 47%/36% | 99/83 | 13% | 0 |
| 2022 | 180 | 5 | .231/.228 | 11% | 64% | 33% | 43%/40% | 147/143 | 12% | 79 |
| 2023 | 212 | 8 | .213/.210 | 13% | 61% | 30% | 33%/49% | 138/187 | 15% | 61 |
| 2024 | 70 | 3 | .328/.235 | 7% | 77% | 39% | 39%/45% | 107/110 | 14% | 134 |
It's a mix of skill changes and luck factors:
- Given the h%, luck factors have been in Larnach's favor. However, he's significantly improved his contact rates, which jumped 14 percentage points from his career average. Larnach used to play better in OBP...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Facts & Flukes
Jacob deGrom looked the part of an ace again. Is he? Plus Alec Burleson, Bryce Miller, Tyler O'Neill, and Evan Carter.
Mar 29 2026 3:07am
Mar 29 2026 3:07am
Riley Greene had a power breakout in 2025, but can we expect more of the same this year? Also, Tyler Soderstrom, Ceddanne Rafaela, Reid Detmers, and Daulton Varsho.
Mar 26 2026 3:09am
Mar 26 2026 3:09am
Jhoan Duran had a career-high 32 saves in 2025. Could 2026 be his best season yet? Plus, Michael Harris II, Matt Chapman, Matthew Boyd, and Adolis García.
Mar 25 2026 3:06am
Mar 25 2026 3:06am
Willy Adames moves outside top 100. Also: Shota Imanga, Jorge Polanco, Emilio Pagán, J.T. Realmtuo.
Mar 24 2026 3:07am
Mar 24 2026 3:07am
A new batch of ALers, headlined by four-category stalwart Brent Rooker
Mar 19 2026 3:06am
Mar 19 2026 3:06am
