Larnach, Crochet, Toro, H. Brown, Singleton
May 16 2024
Larnach might be breaking out ... After hitting 20 home runs with two stolen bases and a .222 BA in 693 plate appearances (2021-2023), Trevor Larnach (OF, MIN) has three homers with a .328 BA in 70 plate appearances. Is he running hot, or can we identify any skill changes?
| Season | PA | HR | BA/xBA | BB% | ct% | h% | GB%/FB% | PX/xPX | HR/F | BPX |
| 2021 | 301 | 7 | .223/.192 | 10% | 60% | 34% | 47%/36% | 99/83 | 13% | 0 |
| 2022 | 180 | 5 | .231/.228 | 11% | 64% | 33% | 43%/40% | 147/143 | 12% | 79 |
| 2023 | 212 | 8 | .213/.210 | 13% | 61% | 30% | 33%/49% | 138/187 | 15% | 61 |
| 2024 | 70 | 3 | .328/.235 | 7% | 77% | 39% | 39%/45% | 107/110 | 14% | 134 |
It's a mix of skill changes and luck factors:
- Given the h%, luck factors have been in Larnach's favor. However, he's significantly improved his contact rates, which jumped 14 percentage points from his career average. Larnach used to play better in OBP...
Almost!
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