Larnach, Crochet, Toro, H. Brown, Singleton
May 16 2024
Larnach might be breaking out ... After hitting 20 home runs with two stolen bases and a .222 BA in 693 plate appearances (2021-2023), Trevor Larnach (OF, MIN) has three homers with a .328 BA in 70 plate appearances. Is he running hot, or can we identify any skill changes?
| Season | PA | HR | BA/xBA | BB% | ct% | h% | GB%/FB% | PX/xPX | HR/F | BPX |
| 2021 | 301 | 7 | .223/.192 | 10% | 60% | 34% | 47%/36% | 99/83 | 13% | 0 |
| 2022 | 180 | 5 | .231/.228 | 11% | 64% | 33% | 43%/40% | 147/143 | 12% | 79 |
| 2023 | 212 | 8 | .213/.210 | 13% | 61% | 30% | 33%/49% | 138/187 | 15% | 61 |
| 2024 | 70 | 3 | .328/.235 | 7% | 77% | 39% | 39%/45% | 107/110 | 14% | 134 |
It's a mix of skill changes and luck factors:
- Given the h%, luck factors have been in Larnach's favor. However, he's significantly improved his contact rates, which jumped 14 percentage points from his career average. Larnach used to play better in OBP...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Facts & Flukes
Pete Crow-Armstrong increased his fantasy value with a strong June. Also: Pete Fairbanks, Luis Arraez, Eduardo Rodriguez, Daylen Lile.
Jul 21 2026 3:06am
Jul 21 2026 3:06am
After a brutal rookie debut, Jac Caglianone has turned things up in his sophomore season.
Jul 17 2026 3:06am
Jul 17 2026 3:06am
What is up with Trea Turner's batting average? Plus, Logan Webb, Kyle Stowers, Bryce Elder, and Dylan Crews.
Jul 15 2026 3:06am
Jul 15 2026 3:06am
Corbin Carroll steals fewer bases. Also: Freddy Peralta, Bryan Reynolds, Gregory Soto, Eugenio Suárez.
Jul 14 2026 7:00am
Jul 14 2026 7:00am
Dylan Cease is piling up strikeouts in Toronto, while Sean Burke has shown plenty of growth. Plus, Kerry Carpenter, Caleb Durbin, and Cole Young.
Jul 13 2026 3:08am
Jul 13 2026 3:08am
