STARTERS: BPV none on/runners on, 2019

Our original research in 2013 confirmed that there are significant skill differences among pitchers when throwing with the bases empty compared to with runners on base.

This trend continues to hold true. Pitchers have produced a near-100 BPV in each of the last five seasons with the bases empty, compared to a mediocre sub-70 BPV when pitching with runners on base.

We can visualize this impact by comparing the skills of pitchers in those two situations over the last seven seasons with the average overall skills posted by starting pitchers during the same period:

Here is an updated analysis with stats and skills for the none on/runners on split over the last seven seasons:

  • None On Stats & Skills: 2013 to 2019 YTD*
    
    Year  League  ERA  ...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Starting Pitchers

Ian Seymour's recent skill surge and transition back to a starting role give him significant appeal again in deep leagues.
Jul 18 2026 3:07am
No starting pitcher has provided more value in wins and innings or shown a steeper groundball tilt than Cristopher Sanchez over the past 12 months.
Jul 11 2026 3:05am
Jake Bennett's intriguing pitch profile translated well from Triple-A to the Red Sox in June, making him a premium speculation in deeper leagues.
Jul 4 2026 3:07am
Cam Schlittler's breakthrough season would get even better if he could improve his third-time-through lineup skills.
Jun 27 2026 3:10am
Ben Brown gets dialed in with runners on base. Finding a similar approach with the bases empty will help him take a sustained step forward.
Jun 20 2026 3:05am

Tools