STARTERS: Early buy low targets, 2021

Surface stats like ERA can be misleading, especially at this time of the year, as they can mask strong underlying skills that are likely to result in ERA improvement in the future.

For example, check out the writeup that appeared in this space two years ago:

Corbin Burnes (RHP, MIL) has inflicted his owners to the tune of an 8.10 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in 27 IP, which contributed to his loss of a rotation spot on the MIL staff. But if you're looking for a talented SP to buy low on, such targets don't get much better than Burnes. His skills indicate his upside: 12.8 Dom, 3.7 Ctl, 43% GB%, 152 BPV. They are backed by an elite 16% SwK% too. A 41% H% and crazy 44% hr/f have been the primary reasons for his struggles, as well as a total inability...

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