STARTERS: Early sell-high targets, 2015

After our early-season focus on buying opportunities, let's take a look at some guys who are overperforming their base skills.

These SP have the largest ERA vs. expected ERA (xERA) variances, meaning their sexy surface stats haven't been accompanied with full skill support:

  • ERA vs. xERA*
    
    Name                 League  ERA   xERA  Diff
    ===================  ======  ====  ====  =====
    Martinez, Nick           AL  1.88  4.34  -2.46
    Harang, Aaron            NL  2.03  3.94  -1.91
    Santiago, Hector         AL  2.41  4.29  -1.88
    Gibson, Kyle             AL  2.70  4.57  -1.87
    Greinke, Zack            NL  1.52  3.34  -1.82
    Wacha, Michael           NL  2.06  3.88  -1.82
    Miller, Shelby           NL  1.60  3.38  -1.78
    Chen, Wei-Yin            AL ...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Starting Pitchers

Payton Tolle's mediocre results in July hid an excellent foundation of skills, putting him in position to be a difference-maker down the stretch.
Aug 1 2026 3:05am
Sean Burke's recent stretch of elite skills has been backed by some significant underlying support.
Jul 25 2026 3:15am
Ian Seymour's recent skill surge and transition back to a starting role give him significant appeal again in deep leagues.
Jul 18 2026 3:07am
No starting pitcher has provided more value in wins and innings or shown a steeper groundball tilt than Cristopher Sanchez over the past 12 months.
Jul 11 2026 3:05am
Jake Bennett's intriguing pitch profile translated well from Triple-A to the Red Sox in June, making him a premium speculation in deeper leagues.
Jul 4 2026 3:07am

Tools