STARTERS: Early sell-high targets 2016

After our early-season focus on buying opportunities, let's take a look at some guys who are overperforming their base skills.

First, these SP have the largest ERA vs. expected ERA (xERA) variances, meaning their shiny surface stats haven't been accompanied with much skill support:

  • ERA vs. xERA*
    
    Name                 League  ERA   xERA  Diff
    ===================  ======  ====  ====  =====
    Zimmermann, Jordan       NL  1.10  4.15  +3.05
    Wright, Steven           AL  1.52  3.65  +2.13
    Hammel, Jason            NL  1.85  3.96  +2.11
    Latos, Mat               AL  2.62  4.58  +1.96
    Quintana, Jose           AL  1.38  3.21  +1.83
    Hernandez, Felix         AL  2.27  4.08  +1.81
    Arrieta, Jake            NL  1.13  2.92  +1.79
    Gonzalez, Gio          ...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Starting Pitchers

Ben Brown gets dialed in with runners on base. Finding a similar approach with the bases empty will help him take a sustained step forward.
Jun 20 2026 3:05am
The ups-and-downs of Jesús Luzardo can be traced to some really ugly results when he pitches at home, largely due to some bad luck during those starts.
Jun 13 2026 3:09am
Chase Dollander's filthy skills against same-sided bats reinforce his upper-rotation ceiling.
Jun 6 2026 3:10am
Cristopher Sanchez's scoreless streak continues, and it has been backed by top-tier skills and similarly elite skill drivers.
May 30 2026 3:05am
Jacob Misiorowski's skills have become firmly elite so far in 2026.
May 23 2026 3:05am

Tools