STARTERS: Expected Ctl, Dom surgers and faders 2018

Comparing strikeout and walk levels with command sub-indicators like swinging strike rate and ball percentage can be an effective way to forecast changes in a SP's command.

Our 2013 research on swinging strike rates (SwK%) showed that SwK% has a strong link with his dominance rate (K/9). As such, we can use it to calculate a SP's expected Dom:

• xDom Ranges by SwK% Level
  
              ------xDom by Percentile----
  SwK% Range  10th  25th  50th  75th  90th
  ==========  ====  ====  ====  ====  ====
  12.0%       8.7   9.1   9.6  10.2  10.6
  11.5-11.9%   8.2   8.5   9.4   9.9  10.2
  11.0-11.4%   6.5   7.3   8.2   9.2   9.5
  10.5-10.9%   7.2   7.7   8.0   8.6   9.0
  10.0-10.4%   6.8   7.1   8.3   8.9   9.0
  9.5-9.9%     6.6   7.4   7.6   8.2  ...

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