STARTERS: Gambles 2016

Most starting pitchers can be considered gambles in one form or another. Some are gambles worth taking. Others should be avoided.

Here, we will discuss gambles to avoid and define them as established SP who are likely to be significantly overvalued on draft day.

This doesn't mean you should avoid targeting all of the guys listed here, but it does mean that you should think twice before bidding full value on many of them.

Let's identify these SP by first looking at those who earned at least $5 in 2015 but had a sub-100 BPV, sorted in ascending order of BPV:

<100 BPV, R$ $5+, 2015*

Name                League  Ctl  Dom   HR/9  GB%  H%   S%   SwK%  FpK%  '15 R$  BPV
==================  ======  ===  ====  ====  ===  ===  ===  ====  ====  ======  ===
Young, Chris...

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