STARTERS: Gambles

Most starting pitchers can be considered gambles in one form or another. Some are gambles worth taking. Others should be avoided.

Here, we will discuss gambles to avoid and define them as SP who are likely to be significantly overvalued on draft day.

We'll take a look at several indicators to explain why they may be easy to overvalue.

Please reference our Pitching Toolbox for explanations on these indicators. We have included excerpts below where applicable.

***

  • Strand Rate

Pitchers with very high strand rates almost always have exemplary ERAs. Most will see their ERAs rise the following year.

S%  77% - 2011

Name                 League  S%
===================  ======  ===
Bass, Anthony            NL  90%
Johnson, Josh...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Starting Pitchers

Brandon Pfaadt's huge underlying gains in 2024 make him a premium breakout target heading into 2025.
Sep 7 2024 3:09am
Emerging rookie Spencer Schwellenbach was the game's most skilled starting pitcher during August behind a combination of groundballs and whiffs.
Aug 31 2024 3:09am
Brayan Bello's crumbling command against lefty bats is preventing him from taking a sustained step forward.
Aug 24 2024 3:09am
The recent struggles of Cristopher Sánchez can be traced back to his road starts, where both his stats and skills go from great to bad.
Aug 17 2024 3:09am
Brayan Bello's concurrent improvement in swinging strikes and ball percentage in the second half suggests he could deliver improved results down the stretch.
Aug 10 2024 3:09am

Tools