STARTERS: Ten overrated SP
Dec 23 2011
If you are looking to minimize your risk on draft day, it's best to avoid bidding market value on starting pitchers whose xERA were significantly higher than their actual ERA. These SP likely will be overvalued in many drafts.
In 2011, there were over 30 SP with xERA that were at least 1.50 ER higher than their actual ERA:
-------2011------
Name League ERA xERA Diff
================ ====== ==== ==== =====
Aceves, Alfredo AL 2.61 4.18 (1.57)
Hellickson, Jeremy AL 2.95 4.47 (1.52)
Johnson, Josh NL 1.64 3.13 (1.49)
Moscoso, Guillermo AL 3.38 4.72 (1.34)
Weaver, Jered AL 2.41 3.68 (1.27)
Cueto, Johnny NL 2.31 3.57 ...
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