RESEARCH: Future batter value based on Year-1 value
Jan 29 2015
In May of 2008, the Oakland A’s called up a young outfielder named Carlos Gonzalez. He got into 85 games and amassed a little over 300 AB, with 4 HR, 26 RBI, 4 SB and a .242 BA. As a fantasy batter, he was worth around -$4.
Fast-forward two seasons, and Gonzalez was a star. He’d been traded to Colorado, acquired a snazzy nickname (“CarGo” ) and rung up a gaudy 34-117-26-.336 BA campaign. He was an MVP candidate (third in the voting), and his $42 fantasy value led all hitters that year.
The Gonzalez story and other like it get many fantasy owners drooling about finding the next CarGo or Jean Segura—a first-year fantasy bust who comes roaring back to post big fantasy numbers and win leagues.
The trouble is that it just doesn’t happen...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Research
The pitching landscape has shifted yet again, and our Pure Quality Start metric undergoes a minor shift to level-set the results.
Nov 28 2023 1:01am
Nov 28 2023 1:01am
With the new pitch clock we examine who the clock may impact and how the clock may or may not impact pitcher performance.
Feb 23 2023 1:05am
Feb 23 2023 1:05am
Several years have passed since the original article. It's time for an update and a look at the initial 2021 list.
Jun 17 2021 12:04am
Jun 17 2021 12:04am
The elite rate at which Dansby Swanson produced 95+ mph exit velocity in 2019 suggests that he's an overlooked breakout target.
Jun 15 2020 1:05am
Jun 15 2020 1:05am
Nick Pivetta gave up less very hard contact in 2019 than you might think. Could it be a precursor to a rebound season?
Jun 9 2020 1:05am
Jun 9 2020 1:05am
