RESEARCH: Post-Tommy John survival rates

It has become pretty common to think that ulnar ligament replacement (Tommy John) surgery is so routine that pitchers who have the procedure are pretty much guaranteed a return to MLB.

But is it so? And what about pitchers having a second TJS?

In a recent thread on the BaseballHQ.com forums, someone claimed that pitchers “don’t really come back from two (TJS) if I remember correctly.”

Perhaps unconvinced by that poster’s memory, another asked, “Is there any research to this effect?”

An excellent question, of the sort that pop uo all the time on the Forums. Since a determined Web search couldn’t find much on the topic of how regularly TJS pitchers get back to MLB, we decided to take matters into our own hands and find out about return...

Almost!

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