RESEARCH: Predicting Breakout Stolen Base Performances
Mar 16 2012
Teams that win fantasy titles often have players on their rosters who deliver more value than either their draft round or their auction price would predict. Often these are players who have breakouts in one or more scoring categories that were not anticipated. Three players who significantly exceeded expectations in SBs last year were Emilio Bonafacio (SS, MIA), Jason Bourgeois (OF, HOU), and Ben Revere (OF, MIN). Building on last month's study of elite SB sources, we can target players in drafts who have a possibility of returning significant profit in the SB category by developing a profile of players who have demonstrated a SB breakout in the past.
Methodology
From 1990 to 2011 there were 401 player-seasons of 30 or more...
Almost!
You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!
Already a subscriber? Sign in here
More From Research
The pitching landscape has shifted yet again, and our Pure Quality Start metric undergoes a minor shift to level-set the results.
Nov 28 2023 1:01am
Nov 28 2023 1:01am
With the new pitch clock we examine who the clock may impact and how the clock may or may not impact pitcher performance.
Feb 23 2023 1:05am
Feb 23 2023 1:05am
Several years have passed since the original article. It's time for an update and a look at the initial 2021 list.
Jun 17 2021 12:04am
Jun 17 2021 12:04am
The elite rate at which Dansby Swanson produced 95+ mph exit velocity in 2019 suggests that he's an overlooked breakout target.
Jun 15 2020 1:05am
Jun 15 2020 1:05am
Nick Pivetta gave up less very hard contact in 2019 than you might think. Could it be a precursor to a rebound season?
Jun 9 2020 1:05am
Jun 9 2020 1:05am
