Very early sub-indicator surgers, 2026

It's still risky to put significant stock into early-season skills, especially aggregate measures like strikeouts and walks. But looking into the components that drive them can be a helpful early-season exercise, since they represent larger sample sizes.

These three batting sub-indicators are key underlying drivers of a hitter's surface stats:

Chase Rate (Chase %)
Swinging Strike Rate (SwK%)
Average Exit Velocity (EV):

These hitters have shown the biggest increase in average exit velocity so far in 2026 (min 30 PA each season):

 20252026Δ
NameLgSwK%Chase %EV SwK%Chase %EV SwK%Chase %EV 
Ezequiel DuranAL11.8%37.4%85.3 13.1%33.6%92.1 1.4%-3.8%6.8 
Jac CaglianoneAL12.9%38.5%89.4 13.8%32.5%95.1 0.9%-6.0%5.7 
Nick KurtzAL14.2%22.2%92.7 

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Batters

The White Sox have one of the youngest and most productive lineups in the majors thanks to Miguel Vargas' growth and Munetaka Murakami's emergence.
Jun 29 2026 3:10am
Colson Montgomery's elite batted ball quality with the bases empty suggests he hasn't reached his ceiling yet.
Jun 22 2026 3:07am
Bryce Eldridge has ridden a hot streak into the second spot in the batting order. A prime place for a rookie with the runway for more playing time.
Jun 19 2026 3:07am
Royce Lewis is finally swinging a hot bat again, and his extreme home/road splits suggest there's more upside to uncover.
Jun 15 2026 3:08am
Travis Bazzana looks like a frontline 2B with the bat when righties are on the mound.
Jun 8 2026 3:07am

Tools