FACTS/FLUKES: Nola, Cain, Inciarte, Matz, Rosario

Nola becomes an ace … Aaron Nola (RHP, PHI) gave us a glimpse of his capabilities when he posted a terrific 3.16 ERA, 10.5 Dom and 153 BPV in 103 IP in the second half of 2017, but many wondered if he could do that over the course of a full season. Through 199 IP, he owns a 2.44 ERA and is the only qualified MLB starting pitcher in 2018 to post a GB% of at least 50% and a Dom of 7.4 or better, so it’s clear he has risen to the challenge. What’s behind the great performance?

Year   IP   ERA  xERA  Ctl   Dom  Cmd  FpK  SwK  GB/LD/FB  H%/S%  hr/f  BPV
====  ===  ====  ====  ===  ====  ===  ===  ===  ========  =====  ====  ===
2015* 187  3.10  3.58  1.8   7.2  4.1  64%   9%  48/20/32  30/77   15%  105
2016  111  4.78  3.25  2.4   9.8  4.2 ...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Facts & Flukes

Riley Greene had a power breakout in 2025, but can we expect more of the same this year? Also, Tyler Soderstrom, Ceddanne Rafaela, Reid Detmers, and Daulton Varsho.
Mar 26 2026 3:09am
Jhoan Duran had a career-high 32 saves in 2025. Could 2026 be his best season yet? Plus, Michael Harris II, Matt Chapman, Matthew Boyd, and Adolis García.
Mar 25 2026 3:06am
Willy Adames moves outside top 100. Also: Shota Imanga, Jorge Polanco, Emilio Pagán, J.T. Realmtuo.
Mar 24 2026 3:07am
A new batch of ALers, headlined by four-category stalwart Brent Rooker
Mar 19 2026 3:06am
As Bryce Harper enters his age-33 season, how are his skills holding up? Plus, Devin Williams, Luis Arraez, Matthew Liberatore, and Miguel Amaya.
Mar 18 2026 3:09am

Tools