Nola, K. Marte, Suzuki, Neris, McNeil
Jul 17 2024
Nola has enjoyed a strong 1H … It was a disappointing 2023 season for Aaron Nola (RHP, PHI) as he finished with a 4.46 ERA in 193 IP. He has rebounded in 2024, sporting a 3.38 ERA through 119 IP. What’s behind the improved performance?
| Year | IP | ERA/xERA | BB%/K% | xBB% | SwK | GB/LD/FB | H%/S% | HR/F | Vel | BPX |
| 2021 | 181 | 4.63/3.48 | 5%/30% | 5% | 13.3% | 41/19/41 | 33/62 | 14% | 92.7 | 183 |
| 2022 | 205 | 3.25/2.94 | 4%/29% | 4% | 13.0% | 44/20/37 | 30/69 | 10% | 92.6 | 191 |
| 2023 | 194 | 4.46/3.80 | 5%/25% | 5% | 12.2% | 43/20/38 | 30/66 | 16% | 92.4 | 150 |
| 2024 | 119 | 3.38/3.44 | 5%/24% | 6% | 11.3% | 44/20/33 | 29/73 | 15% | 91.9 | 149 |
A dose of S% regression has been a big part of it:
- His 2023 ERA was inflated by S% misfortune, as evidenced by xERA. That has regressed in Nola’s favor in 2024. Notice his 2024 BPX is essentially the same as 2023.
- He hasn’t had a BB% higher than...
Almost!
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