2011 updates to the Mayberry Plan

Our annual Straight Draft Guide, 2010 edition.

As spring training open this week, now's the time for all things new in baseball. The Pirates have hope. The Twins open a new stadium. And established players like Roy Halladay, Curtis Granderson and Jason Bay get used to a change of address. So why not a new challenge for fantasy players?

2010 introduction to the Mayberry Method (Part 4 of 4)

2010 introduction to the Mayberry Method (Part 3 of 4)

2010 introduction to the Mayberry Method (Part 2 of 4)

2010 introduction to the Mayberry Method (Part 1 of 4)

The title of this week's column is also the title of an essay from the 1990 Baseball Forecaster. Nearly two decades ago, we did not know nearly as much as we do now, so our forecasting efforts were far more rudimentary. We were in no position to make grandiose claims about projective accuracy (though some did anyway). The touts at the end of the last century lived in a world of imprecision.

Here are some recent facts about the LIMA Plan: It has been around for a long, long time (11 years in fantasy time is forever) The more popular it has become, the less effective it has become. With each year that passes, memory fades and more people get it wrong I have not used the LIMA Plan, as written, for at least four years.

Translating ADP data into likelihood that a player is available at a given draft position...

Our annual Straight Draft Guide, 2009 edition