RELIEVERS: xERA, pxERA and actual ERA

This week, the column looks at some early returns for closers in terms of expected ERA (xERA), projected xERA (pxERA) vis-a-vis actual ERA to date. ERA this early in the year tends to have some errant behavior and as the year progresses, the ERA and xERA tend towards each other—and often towards the projection (pxERA). Therefore, it is good to know where a pitcher stands in all three to see where one should sell and where one should buy. Here is a chart with five current closers:

                  IP  Sv  ERA   xERA pxERA
==============   ===  == ===== ===== =====
Broxton (CIN)    5.0   4  0.00  4.16  3.83
Lindstrom (CHW) 10.0   3  2.70  5.40  3.88
Balfour (TAM)    9.7   4  1.86  4.30  3.49
Axford (CLE)     9.7   8  2.79  5.08 ...

Almost!

You’re just a few clicks away from accessing this feature and hundreds more throughout the year that have a singular goal in mind: Winning your league. Subscribe to BaseballHQ.com here!

Already a subscriber? Sign in here

More From Relief Pitchers

Saves so far for these pens and what HQ projects over the balance of the season, with some skills observations.
Jun 8 2025 3:07am
Filtering relievers with at least 15 innings pitched with strong BPIs.
Jun 1 2025 3:05am
Relievers are getting more innings, starters are getting fewer. Who are these relievers? Can they help your team?
May 25 2025 3:11am
The list is simply the relievers projected to earn top dollar the rest of the season, but the column examines "what have you done for me lately and can you be trusted?"
May 18 2025 3:10am

Tools